The US session (New York open · the afternoon drive) · updated 2026-08-21 14:45 UTC.
The bullish tape is still playing — Bitcoin is pressing toward $78k as U.S. regulatory hopes keep the crypto complex bid, gold holds above $4,590, and oil sits just under its $86.83 ceiling. Equities are mixed across Asia, with U.S. futures edging higher.
Today’s slate is light but useful: Canadian retail sales, euro-area consumer confidence, and the U.S. flash PMIs. The Canadian prints are low-key, and the confidence reading rarely moves markets — but the PMIs give an early read on U.S. momentum and can set the week’s tone.
The barometer remains tilted bullish — EUR/USD, GBP/USD, gold, oil, BTC and ETH all sit in higher-timeframe uptrends, with USD/JPY the lone bear. The catch is the stretch: BTC and ETH H4 RSI sit near 94, gold’s H4 RSI is 73, and EUR/USD plus GBP/USD carry quiet divergence warnings. Oil is a whisker under resistance. So the bull story continues — until a soft PMI gives it a crack. The seatbelt sign is still off, but a few traders are checking their buckles.
21 Aug 12:30 UTCCAD Low
21 Aug 12:30 UTCCAD Low
21 Aug 13:45 UTCUSD Low
21 Aug 13:45 UTCUSD Low
21 Aug 14:00 UTCEUR Low