The US session (New York open · the afternoon drive) · updated 2026-09-03 12:04 UTC.
US Session Prep — 12:00–21:00 UTC
The cast has shifted again: oil has shaken off its pause and is pushing back toward the front of the stage, while bonds remain the nervous understudy — Fed hike chatter and the Dutch central bank's headline-grabbing gold move keeping yields firmly in the spotlight. Equities are riding Wall Street's coattails higher for now, but the bond story hasn't finished.
The calendar keeps it light but not empty. ISM Services PMI is the main event, with Unemployment Claims as a side dish. The real action may come from the speaker roster — Waller, Hammack, and Goolsbee all take the mic, and with the market jittery over a potential hike, every word gets weighed. Productivity revisions and trade balances are polite background noise.
Three threads to follow. USD/JPY remains the loudest — RSI 10 is as stretched as it gets, sitting 3.7 ATR below its flipped ceiling at 157.83, leaving it in no-man's land. Gold is pressing resistance at 4441.73 after a significant 30-minute move — a break would open blue sky. Oil is extended but firm, with no ceiling above.
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Technical Barometer
| Symbol | Tilt | Why |
|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | NEUTRAL | D1 mixed, H4 down, H1 up. Squeezed between 1.16055 support and 1.16172 resistance — a coin flip. |
| GBP/USD | BEAR | Leaning. H4 is down and momentum soft (RSI 36.8). Wedged between 1.34865 support and 1.35026 resistance. |
| USD/JPY | BEAR | Leaning. RSI 10 on H1, 14 on H4 — deeply oversold with the nearest tested level 3.7 ATR above at 157.83. |
| Gold | NEUTRAL | D1 and H1 up, H4 down. Sitting on resistance at 4441.73 (0.1 ATR away) — a single candle decides the next leg. |
| Oil | BULL | Leaning. H4 RSI 72.7 is toppy, but there's no tested ceiling above — stretched, not stopped. |
| Bitcoin | NEUTRAL | D1 up, H4 down, H1 up. Holding above 77552.6 support with 78699.9 overhead — balanced room. |
| Ethereum | NEUTRAL | D1/H4 mixed, H1 up. Capped by 2408.6 resistance just 0.3 ATR above; support sits 1.4 ATR below. |
03 Sep 12:30 UTCCAD Low
03 Sep 12:30 UTCCAD Low
03 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Medium
03 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Low
03 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Low
03 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Low
03 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Low
03 Sep 13:45 UTCUSD Low
03 Sep 14:00 UTCUSD Medium
03 Sep 14:30 UTCUSD Low
03 Sep 19:00 UTCUSD Low
03 Sep 19:55 UTCUSD Low