The US session (New York open · the afternoon drive) · updated 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC.
The dollar bid that wouldn't clock out is still on the payroll: EUR/USD (1.14691) and GBP/USD (1.33731) remain pinned low in their ranges, USD/JPY (157.482) still leans bullish, and gold (4342.88) is still boxed between 4333.73 and 4359.91. So today continues that story rather than reverses it — the tilt gauge reads EUR/USD neutral, GBP/USD neutral, USD/JPY bullish-leaning, and gold's higher-timeframe read stays bearish.
The calendar is light on data but not on voices: FOMC members Bowman, Cook and Barkin speak (low-tier, USD), alongside ECB President Lagarde (medium-tier, EUR). No scheduled releases land in this window, so the tape does the talking — with a little help from the microphones. Oil is the one stretching its legs, up 0.75% over the last 8h with M15 RSI at 63.
On the barometer, the stretched pairs are still stretched. EUR/USD sits neutral (H4 RSI 39.4, floor 1.14623 just below), GBP/USD neutral (H4 RSI 40.9), and USD/JPY leaning bullish (H4 RSI 66.2, with H1 bands at their tightest in 120 bars). Watch whether the dollar bid extends or those pairs finally breathe — and whether the Fed speakers give it a nudge either way.
28 Sep 12:15 UTCUSD Low
28 Sep 13:30 UTCEUR Medium
28 Sep 17:25 UTCUSD Low
28 Sep 17:30 UTCUSD Low