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US Session's Technical Barometer

What this reads: the bigger picture for this session — daily, 4-hour and 1-hour trends with 4-hour and 1-hour momentum, read when this briefing was written. It changes slowly and is not a forecast. Market Pulse reads only the last hour or so, so the two can disagree: a short bounce inside a downtrend can read bullish there and bearish here.

BearBull
EUR/USDBEARISH · CLEAR
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 ▼ H1 — M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 36 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 1.0 ATRSupport — · Resistance 1.12019 (2.2 ATR)the nearest level below is far away — price is stretched
BearBull
GBP/USDBEARISH · CLEAR
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 ▼ H1 ▼ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 39 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.9 ATRSupport 1.31917 (0.2 ATR) · Resistance 1.32058 (0.9 ATR)price sits between two close levels (both within 1 ATR) — a move out of this zone could go either way
BearBull
USD/JPYBULLISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 — H1 ▲ M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 56 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 0.4 ATRSupport 158.10133 (0.8 ATR) · Resistance 158.25811 (0.1 ATR)price sits between two close levels (both within 1 ATR) — a move out of this zone could go either way
BearBull
GoldBEARISH · CLEAR
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 ▼ H1 — M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 52 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.8 ATRSupport 4,112.51 (1.0 ATR) · Resistance 4,127.30 (0.1 ATR)price is sitting right at the nearest level above, with 1.0 ATR to the nearest level below
BearBull
OilBULLISH · CLEAR
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▲ H4 ▲ H1 — M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 71 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 1.0 ATRSupport 93.07 (0.6 ATR) · Resistance 94.16 (1.4 ATR)the nearest level above is 1.4 ATR away and below 0.6 ATR — price is closer to the one below
BearBull
BitcoinBEARISH · STRONG
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 ▼ H1 ▼ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 34 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.7 ATRSupport 80,655.2 (4.3 ATR) · Resistance 82,947.0 (1.1 ATR)price is 1.1 ATR under the nearest level above and 4.3 ATR over the nearest level below — near the top of its recent range
BearBull
EthereumBEARISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▲ H4 ▼ H1 ▼ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 29 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.9 ATRSupport 2,506.5 (1.8 ATR) · Resistance 2,545.3 (0.7 ATR)the nearest level above is 0.7 ATR away and below 1.8 ATR — price is closer to the one above
SESSION PREP · US

What to watch in the US session

The US session (New York open · the afternoon drive) · updated 2026-10-08 12:02 UTC.

Good afternoon, and welcome to the US window. Higher yields are pinching equities almost everywhere except the corner that matters, Brent has jumped over 4% on Middle East tensions, and crypto keeps generating headlines — Samsung Wallet bringing USDC to 82 million Galaxy devices, ESMA giving stablecoin firms three months to shape up, and the US government shifting $470M in seized bitcoin and tether to Coinbase Prime.

The calendar is medium-weight at most: BOE Governor Bailey speaks (the high-tier item), Unemployment Claims land, then MPC Member Lombardelli, FOMC Member Musalem, Final Wholesale Inventories, Natural Gas Storage, and a 30-year Bond Auction round things out.

On the gauge, the tilt is bearish in places but not uniform. EUR/USD is BEARISH CLEAR with D1 and H4 down, H4 RSI 35.0, and price stretched far above its nearest level below. GBP/USD is BEARISH CLEAR across all three timeframes, pinned between two close levels where a break could go either way. USD/JPY is BULLISH LEANING with H1 up, also wedged between two nearby levels. Gold is BEARISH CLEAR with D1 and H4 down, sitting right at the level above. Oil is BULLISH CLEAR with D1 and H4 up, H1 RSI 71.3, closer to support than resistance. Bitcoin is BEARISH STRONG across all three, near the top of its recent range; ethereum is BEARISH LEANING with H4 RSI 22.7. Watch how those levels hold as the US comes in.

In this session window (12:00–21:00 UTC)

BOE Gov Bailey Speaks

08 Oct 12:15 UTCGBP High

Unemployment Claims

08 Oct 12:30 UTCUSD Medium

MPC Member Lombardelli Speaks

08 Oct 13:00 UTCGBP Low

Final Wholesale Inventories m/m

08 Oct 14:00 UTCUSD Low

Natural Gas Storage

08 Oct 14:30 UTCUSD Low

30-y Bond Auction

08 Oct 17:01 UTCUSD Low

FOMC Member Musalem Speaks

08 Oct 17:40 UTCUSD Low

View the full economic calendar → · Briefing archive →