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US Session's Technical Barometer

What this reads: the bigger picture for this session — daily, 4-hour and 1-hour trends with 4-hour and 1-hour momentum, read when this briefing was written. It changes slowly and is not a forecast. Market Pulse reads only the last hour or so, so the two can disagree: a short bounce inside a downtrend can read bullish there and bearish here.

BearBull
EUR/USDBEARISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 — H1 ▲ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 32 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.3 ATRSupport 1.11709 (0.4 ATR) · Resistance 1.12023 (3.0 ATR)the nearest level above is 3.0 ATR away and below 0.4 ATR — price is closer to the one below
BearBull
GBP/USDBULLISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 ▲ H1 ▲ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 45 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 0.4 ATRSupport 1.32232 (0.6 ATR) · Resistance 1.32506 (2.1 ATR)the nearest level above is 2.1 ATR away and below 0.6 ATR — price is closer to the one below
BearBull
USD/JPYBULLISH · CLEAR
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▲ H4 ▲ H1 ▼ M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 64 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 0.7 ATRSupport 158.09405 (4.2 ATR) · Resistance none aboveno level above where price turned before, and the nearest one below is far away — price is stretched
BearBull
GoldNEUTRAL
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 ▲ H1 ▲ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 41 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 0.5 ATRSupport 4,167.13 (0.2 ATR) · Resistance 4,182.18 (1.1 ATR)the nearest level above is 1.1 ATR away and below 0.2 ATR — price is closer to the one below
BearBull
OilNEUTRAL
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 ▼ H1 — M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 65 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 0.6 ATRSupport 93.18 (0.6 ATR) · Resistance 94.31 (0.8 ATR)price sits between two close levels (both within 1 ATR) — a move out of this zone could go either way
BearBull
BitcoinNEUTRAL
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 ▲ H1 ▲ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 46 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 0.5 ATRSupport 83,110.6 (0.6 ATR) · Resistance 83,608.3 (0.7 ATR)price sits between two close levels (both within 1 ATR) — a move out of this zone could go either way
BearBull
EthereumNEUTRAL
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 — H1 ▲ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 53 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 0.6 ATRSupport 2,507.8 (2.3 ATR) · Resistance 2,567.9 (1.8 ATR)about the same room to the levels above (1.8 ATR) and below (2.3 ATR)
SESSION PREP · US

What to watch in the US session

The US session (New York open · the afternoon drive) · updated 2026-10-12 12:02 UTC.

Good afternoon — or good morning, depending on where you're reading this. The wires are juggling oil headlines in both directions, bank earnings set to open a window on how higher yields are treating the economy, and CPI waiting in the wings. Plenty of narrative, and the calendar is doing its part: a Canadian bank holiday, an MPC Member Mann speech, the IMF meetings, and an FOMC Member Hammack appearance — all low-key, so expect headlines rather than data to do the driving.

The gauge itself has shifted from this morning's mix. EUR/USD now leans BEARISH — D1 down against a mixed H4 and an up H1 — and it's sitting close to the level below, with the one above 3.0 ATR out. GBP/USD leans BULLISH on up H4 and H1 with D1 mixed, nearer the level below. USD/JPY is the standout: BULLISH CLEAR across D1 and H4, with H1 the odd one out and no level above where price turned before — stretched is the word. Gold reads NEUTRAL, D1 down against up H4 and H1, pinned near support. Oil and Bitcoin are both NEUTRAL and boxed between two close levels, while Ethereum is NEUTRAL with roughly even room either side.

Watch whether those tight zones hold or break as the session unfolds — and whether USD/JPY's stretch invites any mean-reversion chatter.

In this session window (12:00–21:00 UTC)

Bank Holiday

12 Oct 12:00 UTCCAD Holiday

MPC Member Mann Speaks

12 Oct 12:50 UTCGBP Low

IMF Meetings

12 Oct 14:15 UTCAll Low

FOMC Member Hammack Speaks

12 Oct 16:10 UTCUSD Low

View the full economic calendar → · Briefing archive →